Delaware’s at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean rooted in statewide voting patterns and registration advantages, supporting trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah McBride secured the seat in 2024 by a double-digit margin and advanced unopposed through the September 15 primary, while Republican nominee Joseph Arminio emerged from a fragmented primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Republican candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts only in the event of a significant scandal, health development, or unusually sharp national partisan swing that overrides local fundamentals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants DE-AL
$43,810 Vol.
$43,810 Vol.
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$43,810 Vol.
$43,810 Vol.
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean rooted in statewide voting patterns and registration advantages, supporting trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah McBride secured the seat in 2024 by a double-digit margin and advanced unopposed through the September 15 primary, while Republican nominee Joseph Arminio emerged from a fragmented primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Republican candidates in recent cycles. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts only in the event of a significant scandal, health development, or unusually sharp national partisan swing that overrides local fundamentals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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