Delaware’s at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent federal elections, a pattern reinforced by incumbent Sarah McBride’s 2024 victory margin and her uncontested Democratic primary on September 15, 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. Joseph Arminio, the Republican nominee chosen in the same primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed by double digits in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party captures this established advantage. A significant national partisan shift, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the trajectory before Election Day, though historical results and current ratings indicate narrow pathways for such changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants DE-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants DE-AL
$43,810 Vol.
$43,810 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$43,810 Vol.
$43,810 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,359 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$38,450 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent federal elections, a pattern reinforced by incumbent Sarah McBride’s 2024 victory margin and her uncontested Democratic primary on September 15, 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. Joseph Arminio, the Republican nominee chosen in the same primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed by double digits in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party captures this established advantage. A significant national partisan shift, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the trajectory before Election Day, though historical results and current ratings indicate narrow pathways for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,810Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent federal elections, a pattern reinforced by incumbent Sarah McBride’s 2024 victory margin and her uncontested Democratic primary on September 15, 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. Joseph Arminio, the Republican nominee chosen in the same primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed by double digits in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party captures this established advantage. A significant national partisan shift, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the trajectory before Election Day, though historical results and current ratings indicate narrow pathways for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,810Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent federal elections, a pattern reinforced by incumbent Sarah McBride’s 2024 victory margin and her uncontested Democratic primary on September 15, 2026. Nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and limited Republican infrastructure. Joseph Arminio, the Republican nominee chosen in the same primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have prevailed by double digits in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party captures this established advantage. A significant national partisan shift, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the trajectory before Election Day, though historical results and current ratings indicate narrow pathways for such changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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