Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest in Minnesota's 6th district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan composition and Emmer's prior 62% general-election margin underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 2 deadline and modest early Democratic fundraising by figures such as Doug Chapin have not altered the established lean, with primaries and the November 3 general still months away. No major polling shifts or national developments have emerged to narrow the gap in the current cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$11,433 Vol.
$11,433 Vol.
Parti républicain
79%
Parti démocrate
15%
$11,433 Vol.
$11,433 Vol.
Parti républicain
79%
Parti démocrate
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest in Minnesota's 6th district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan composition and Emmer's prior 62% general-election margin underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 2 deadline and modest early Democratic fundraising by figures such as Doug Chapin have not altered the established lean, with primaries and the November 3 general still months away. No major polling shifts or national developments have emerged to narrow the gap in the current cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes