Minnesota's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican partisan voter index of R+10, reflecting consistent support in recent presidential cycles and positioning the Republican nominee as the strong favorite in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Tom Emmer faces primary challengers on August 11, while Democrats have multiple candidates competing in their primary the same day. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with the current trader consensus reflected in the 79% Republican probability. Limited polling and early-cycle dynamics have produced no major shifts in the past month, though primary outcomes could provide the next notable update before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$11,433 Vol.
$11,433 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
79%
Parti démocrate
15%
$11,433 Vol.
$11,433 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,272 Vol.
79%
Parti démocrate
$5,161 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican partisan voter index of R+10, reflecting consistent support in recent presidential cycles and positioning the Republican nominee as the strong favorite in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Tom Emmer faces primary challengers on August 11, while Democrats have multiple candidates competing in their primary the same day. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with the current trader consensus reflected in the 79% Republican probability. Limited polling and early-cycle dynamics have produced no major shifts in the past month, though primary outcomes could provide the next notable update before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$11,433Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican partisan voter index of R+10, reflecting consistent support in recent presidential cycles and positioning the Republican nominee as the strong favorite in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Tom Emmer faces primary challengers on August 11, while Democrats have multiple candidates competing in their primary the same day. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with the current trader consensus reflected in the 79% Republican probability. Limited polling and early-cycle dynamics have produced no major shifts in the past month, though primary outcomes could provide the next notable update before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,433Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican partisan voter index of R+10, reflecting consistent support in recent presidential cycles and positioning the Republican nominee as the strong favorite in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Tom Emmer faces primary challengers on August 11, while Democrats have multiple candidates competing in their primary the same day. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, consistent with the current trader consensus reflected in the 79% Republican probability. Limited polling and early-cycle dynamics have produced no major shifts in the past month, though primary outcomes could provide the next notable update before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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