Incumbent Republican Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 7th congressional district, a large rural area in western Minnesota that has favored Republicans since her 2020 victory. Recent primaries on August 11, 2026, saw her advance unopposed while Democrat Erik Osberg secured his party's nomination, with no subsequent developments altering the race's trajectory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Fischbach's 70.5% margin in 2024 and the district's partisan baseline. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fischbach reflects this structural advantage, substantial fundraising edge, and absence of competitive polling or national headwinds. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized near the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$24,259 Vol.
$24,259 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Michelle Fischbach (R)
95%
Erik Osberg (D)
6%
$24,259 Vol.
$24,259 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Michelle Fischbach (R)
$6,265 Vol.
95%
Erik Osberg (D)
$17,994 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 7th congressional district, a large rural area in western Minnesota that has favored Republicans since her 2020 victory. Recent primaries on August 11, 2026, saw her advance unopposed while Democrat Erik Osberg secured his party's nomination, with no subsequent developments altering the race's trajectory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Fischbach's 70.5% margin in 2024 and the district's partisan baseline. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fischbach reflects this structural advantage, substantial fundraising edge, and absence of competitive polling or national headwinds. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized near the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,259Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 7th congressional district, a large rural area in western Minnesota that has favored Republicans since her 2020 victory. Recent primaries on August 11, 2026, saw her advance unopposed while Democrat Erik Osberg secured his party's nomination, with no subsequent developments altering the race's trajectory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Fischbach's 70.5% margin in 2024 and the district's partisan baseline. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fischbach reflects this structural advantage, substantial fundraising edge, and absence of competitive polling or national headwinds. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized near the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,259Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 7th congressional district, a large rural area in western Minnesota that has favored Republicans since her 2020 victory. Recent primaries on August 11, 2026, saw her advance unopposed while Democrat Erik Osberg secured his party's nomination, with no subsequent developments altering the race's trajectory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Fischbach's 70.5% margin in 2024 and the district's partisan baseline. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fischbach reflects this structural advantage, substantial fundraising edge, and absence of competitive polling or national headwinds. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized near the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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