Republican incumbent Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan voting index and recent election results. Stauber secured 58% of the vote in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11. Multiple Democrats, including Luke Gulbranson, Trina Swanson, and John Munter, are competing in their August primary, but the seat carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks, supporting trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican nominee in the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$20,226 Vol.
$20,226 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
87%
Parti démocrate
10%
$20,226 Vol.
$20,226 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,772 Vol.
87%
Parti démocrate
$9,454 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan voting index and recent election results. Stauber secured 58% of the vote in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11. Multiple Democrats, including Luke Gulbranson, Trina Swanson, and John Munter, are competing in their August primary, but the seat carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks, supporting trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican nominee in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$20,226Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan voting index and recent election results. Stauber secured 58% of the vote in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11. Multiple Democrats, including Luke Gulbranson, Trina Swanson, and John Munter, are competing in their August primary, but the seat carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks, supporting trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican nominee in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,226Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district’s R+7 partisan voting index and recent election results. Stauber secured 58% of the vote in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge on August 11. Multiple Democrats, including Luke Gulbranson, Trina Swanson, and John Munter, are competing in their August primary, but the seat carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the competitive landscape in recent weeks, supporting trader consensus around an elevated probability for the Republican nominee in the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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