Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks another term in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat with an R+7 partisan voting index that Trump carried by 14 points in 2024. Stauber has held the northeastern Minnesota district since 2019 with margins above 50 percent in recent cycles. Democratic primary contenders, including several lesser-known candidates, face an August 11 nominating contest ahead of the November 3 general election, while Stauber faces limited primary opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and the current 73 percent Republican probability in the market aligns with the district’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s established record.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$14,811 Vol.
$14,811 Vol.
Parti républicain
73%
Parti démocrate
27%
$14,811 Vol.
$14,811 Vol.
Parti républicain
73%
Parti démocrate
27%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks another term in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat with an R+7 partisan voting index that Trump carried by 14 points in 2024. Stauber has held the northeastern Minnesota district since 2019 with margins above 50 percent in recent cycles. Democratic primary contenders, including several lesser-known candidates, face an August 11 nominating contest ahead of the November 3 general election, while Stauber faces limited primary opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and the current 73 percent Republican probability in the market aligns with the district’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s established record.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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