Tony Wied's incumbency in Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, a seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the market's strong consensus for his reelection. He secured the seat in 2024 with roughly 57 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed in the 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary with only 35 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the northeastern Wisconsin district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the district's established voting patterns before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,539 Vol.
$21,539 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tony Wied (R)
90%
Rick Crosson (D)
9%
$21,539 Vol.
$21,539 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Tony Wied (R)
$14,300 Vol.
90%
Rick Crosson (D)
$7,239 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tony Wied's incumbency in Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, a seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the market's strong consensus for his reelection. He secured the seat in 2024 with roughly 57 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed in the 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary with only 35 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the northeastern Wisconsin district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the district's established voting patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$21,539Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tony Wied's incumbency in Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, a seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the market's strong consensus for his reelection. He secured the seat in 2024 with roughly 57 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed in the 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary with only 35 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the northeastern Wisconsin district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the district's established voting patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,539Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Tony Wied's incumbency in Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, a seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the market's strong consensus for his reelection. He secured the seat in 2024 with roughly 57 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed in the 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary with only 35 percent. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the northeastern Wisconsin district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout that alters the district's established voting patterns before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes