The Republican Party holds an 83% implied probability in the WI-08 House election market, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican lean, incumbent Tony Wied’s 2024 victory margin of roughly 15 points, and his substantial early fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. The solidly Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts and the presence of three lesser-funded Democratic primary challengers further reinforce trader consensus ahead of the August 11 primaries. The Democratic Party’s 18% price aligns with the structural challenges of contesting a northeastern Wisconsin district that includes Green Bay and Appleton, where recent candidate announcements and modest Democratic fundraising have not altered the underlying partisan balance. Primary outcomes and general election dynamics remain the key variables that could influence final resolution in November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$13,585 Vol.
$13,585 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
83%
Parti démocrate
18%
$13,585 Vol.
$13,585 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$7,903 Vol.
83%
Parti démocrate
$5,682 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 83% implied probability in the WI-08 House election market, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican lean, incumbent Tony Wied’s 2024 victory margin of roughly 15 points, and his substantial early fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. The solidly Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts and the presence of three lesser-funded Democratic primary challengers further reinforce trader consensus ahead of the August 11 primaries. The Democratic Party’s 18% price aligns with the structural challenges of contesting a northeastern Wisconsin district that includes Green Bay and Appleton, where recent candidate announcements and modest Democratic fundraising have not altered the underlying partisan balance. Primary outcomes and general election dynamics remain the key variables that could influence final resolution in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,585Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 83% implied probability in the WI-08 House election market, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican lean, incumbent Tony Wied’s 2024 victory margin of roughly 15 points, and his substantial early fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. The solidly Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts and the presence of three lesser-funded Democratic primary challengers further reinforce trader consensus ahead of the August 11 primaries. The Democratic Party’s 18% price aligns with the structural challenges of contesting a northeastern Wisconsin district that includes Green Bay and Appleton, where recent candidate announcements and modest Democratic fundraising have not altered the underlying partisan balance. Primary outcomes and general election dynamics remain the key variables that could influence final resolution in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,585Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds an 83% implied probability in the WI-08 House election market, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican lean, incumbent Tony Wied’s 2024 victory margin of roughly 15 points, and his substantial early fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. The solidly Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts and the presence of three lesser-funded Democratic primary challengers further reinforce trader consensus ahead of the August 11 primaries. The Democratic Party’s 18% price aligns with the structural challenges of contesting a northeastern Wisconsin district that includes Green Bay and Appleton, where recent candidate announcements and modest Democratic fundraising have not altered the underlying partisan balance. Primary outcomes and general election dynamics remain the key variables that could influence final resolution in November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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