Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House minority leader since 2023, anchors the heavy favorite status in New York’s 8th congressional district for the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by primary results on June 23 and minimal Republican opposition, underpins trader consensus around a 95 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Jeffries faces limited primary or general-election competition, with any Republican challenger polling far behind. Factors that could narrow this margin include late-cycle shifts in national midterm dynamics, unusually high turnout among opposing voters, or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent’s standing, though historical patterns in similar safe Democratic seats suggest such reversals remain uncommon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-08
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-08
$32,576 Vol.
$32,576 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$32,576 Vol.
$32,576 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$14,093 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$18,483 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House minority leader since 2023, anchors the heavy favorite status in New York’s 8th congressional district for the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by primary results on June 23 and minimal Republican opposition, underpins trader consensus around a 95 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Jeffries faces limited primary or general-election competition, with any Republican challenger polling far behind. Factors that could narrow this margin include late-cycle shifts in national midterm dynamics, unusually high turnout among opposing voters, or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent’s standing, though historical patterns in similar safe Democratic seats suggest such reversals remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,576Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House minority leader since 2023, anchors the heavy favorite status in New York’s 8th congressional district for the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by primary results on June 23 and minimal Republican opposition, underpins trader consensus around a 95 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Jeffries faces limited primary or general-election competition, with any Republican challenger polling far behind. Factors that could narrow this margin include late-cycle shifts in national midterm dynamics, unusually high turnout among opposing voters, or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent’s standing, though historical patterns in similar safe Democratic seats suggest such reversals remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,576Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House minority leader since 2023, anchors the heavy favorite status in New York’s 8th congressional district for the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by primary results on June 23 and minimal Republican opposition, underpins trader consensus around a 95 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Jeffries faces limited primary or general-election competition, with any Republican challenger polling far behind. Factors that could narrow this margin include late-cycle shifts in national midterm dynamics, unusually high turnout among opposing voters, or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent’s standing, though historical patterns in similar safe Democratic seats suggest such reversals remain uncommon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes