The New York 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent high Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 Democratic primary delivered a clear nominee in Claire Valdez after her decisive win over Antonio Reynoso. That outcome, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, has kept the general election matchup non-competitive ahead of November. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unforeseen national wave shifting turnout patterns, or a sustained Republican surge in urban areas could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similarly rated districts show such reversals remain rare.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-07
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-07
$29,813 Vol.
$29,813 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
3%
$29,813 Vol.
$29,813 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$15,452 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$14,361 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent high Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 Democratic primary delivered a clear nominee in Claire Valdez after her decisive win over Antonio Reynoso. That outcome, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, has kept the general election matchup non-competitive ahead of November. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unforeseen national wave shifting turnout patterns, or a sustained Republican surge in urban areas could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similarly rated districts show such reversals remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$29,813Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent high Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 Democratic primary delivered a clear nominee in Claire Valdez after her decisive win over Antonio Reynoso. That outcome, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, has kept the general election matchup non-competitive ahead of November. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unforeseen national wave shifting turnout patterns, or a sustained Republican surge in urban areas could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similarly rated districts show such reversals remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,813Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New York 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 and consistent high Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2026 Democratic primary delivered a clear nominee in Claire Valdez after her decisive win over Antonio Reynoso. That outcome, combined with limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, has kept the general election matchup non-competitive ahead of November. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unforeseen national wave shifting turnout patterns, or a sustained Republican surge in urban areas could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates in similarly rated districts show such reversals remain rare.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes