NY-09 remains a solidly Democratic district centered in Brooklyn, where the party has held the seat for decades amid consistent voter registration advantages and strong performance in recent federal elections. Incumbent Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with a clear majority, while the Republican primary produced only one candidate, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested in early positioning. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current odds. A shift in this outlook would require late-cycle developments such as a major scandal involving the nominee, substantial turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unforeseen legal or redistricting actions before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNY-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NY-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$44,795 Vol.
$44,795 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
5%
$44,795 Vol.
$44,795 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$19,282 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$25,514 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-09 remains a solidly Democratic district centered in Brooklyn, where the party has held the seat for decades amid consistent voter registration advantages and strong performance in recent federal elections. Incumbent Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with a clear majority, while the Republican primary produced only one candidate, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested in early positioning. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current odds. A shift in this outlook would require late-cycle developments such as a major scandal involving the nominee, substantial turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unforeseen legal or redistricting actions before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$44,795Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-09 remains a solidly Democratic district centered in Brooklyn, where the party has held the seat for decades amid consistent voter registration advantages and strong performance in recent federal elections. Incumbent Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with a clear majority, while the Republican primary produced only one candidate, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested in early positioning. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current odds. A shift in this outlook would require late-cycle developments such as a major scandal involving the nominee, substantial turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unforeseen legal or redistricting actions before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,795Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-09 remains a solidly Democratic district centered in Brooklyn, where the party has held the seat for decades amid consistent voter registration advantages and strong performance in recent federal elections. Incumbent Yvette Clarke secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with a clear majority, while the Republican primary produced only one candidate, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested in early positioning. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current odds. A shift in this outlook would require late-cycle developments such as a major scandal involving the nominee, substantial turnout changes among key voting blocs, or unforeseen legal or redistricting actions before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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