Redistricting last year shifted Texas’s 9th congressional district from a long-held Democratic seat into a solidly Republican-leaning district rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With incumbent Al Green seeking another district, both parties held contested primaries that concluded in late May 2026. Republicans nominated Alex Mealer after a runoff victory, while Democrats selected Leticia Gutierrez. The November 3 general election remains months away, but the district’s new partisan composition and the absence of a competitive incumbent have shaped trader consensus around a Republican outcome, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance absent major developments in the campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
78%
Parti démocrate
20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$2,560 Vol.
78%
Parti démocrate
$2,331 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting last year shifted Texas’s 9th congressional district from a long-held Democratic seat into a solidly Republican-leaning district rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With incumbent Al Green seeking another district, both parties held contested primaries that concluded in late May 2026. Republicans nominated Alex Mealer after a runoff victory, while Democrats selected Leticia Gutierrez. The November 3 general election remains months away, but the district’s new partisan composition and the absence of a competitive incumbent have shaped trader consensus around a Republican outcome, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance absent major developments in the campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$4,891Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting last year shifted Texas’s 9th congressional district from a long-held Democratic seat into a solidly Republican-leaning district rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With incumbent Al Green seeking another district, both parties held contested primaries that concluded in late May 2026. Republicans nominated Alex Mealer after a runoff victory, while Democrats selected Leticia Gutierrez. The November 3 general election remains months away, but the district’s new partisan composition and the absence of a competitive incumbent have shaped trader consensus around a Republican outcome, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance absent major developments in the campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,891Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting last year shifted Texas’s 9th congressional district from a long-held Democratic seat into a solidly Republican-leaning district rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With incumbent Al Green seeking another district, both parties held contested primaries that concluded in late May 2026. Republicans nominated Alex Mealer after a runoff victory, while Democrats selected Leticia Gutierrez. The November 3 general election remains months away, but the district’s new partisan composition and the absence of a competitive incumbent have shaped trader consensus around a Republican outcome, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance absent major developments in the campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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