Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.9% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, combined with Underwood’s established incumbency since 2019 and consistent fundraising edge, underpins the strong implied probability. Republican nominee James Marter advanced from the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a suburban Chicago exurban seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with limited general-election competitiveness statewide. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few indicators of such a shift before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-14
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-14
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$3,376 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$6,340 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.9% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, combined with Underwood’s established incumbency since 2019 and consistent fundraising edge, underpins the strong implied probability. Republican nominee James Marter advanced from the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a suburban Chicago exurban seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with limited general-election competitiveness statewide. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few indicators of such a shift before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$9,717Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.9% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, combined with Underwood’s established incumbency since 2019 and consistent fundraising edge, underpins the strong implied probability. Republican nominee James Marter advanced from the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a suburban Chicago exurban seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with limited general-election competitiveness statewide. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few indicators of such a shift before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,717Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.9% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, combined with Underwood’s established incumbency since 2019 and consistent fundraising edge, underpins the strong implied probability. Republican nominee James Marter advanced from the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a suburban Chicago exurban seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with limited general-election competitiveness statewide. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few indicators of such a shift before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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