Missouri's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the 2024 general election results where the Republican candidate secured 61.3 percent of the vote. Incumbent Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces limited opposition heading into the August 4, 2026 primaries, while Democratic primary contenders including Bethany Mann and Tommy Holstein have not yet consolidated significant support or fundraising momentum. The district's composition, encompassing St. Charles County and extending into rural areas, aligns with consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent for the Republican nominee accounts for these structural factors, though shifts could occur if national conditions produce unusually high Democratic turnout or if an unexpected primary outcome elevates a stronger challenger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$67 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$5,653 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the 2024 general election results where the Republican candidate secured 61.3 percent of the vote. Incumbent Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces limited opposition heading into the August 4, 2026 primaries, while Democratic primary contenders including Bethany Mann and Tommy Holstein have not yet consolidated significant support or fundraising momentum. The district's composition, encompassing St. Charles County and extending into rural areas, aligns with consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent for the Republican nominee accounts for these structural factors, though shifts could occur if national conditions produce unusually high Democratic turnout or if an unexpected primary outcome elevates a stronger challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$5,720Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the 2024 general election results where the Republican candidate secured 61.3 percent of the vote. Incumbent Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces limited opposition heading into the August 4, 2026 primaries, while Democratic primary contenders including Bethany Mann and Tommy Holstein have not yet consolidated significant support or fundraising momentum. The district's composition, encompassing St. Charles County and extending into rural areas, aligns with consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent for the Republican nominee accounts for these structural factors, though shifts could occur if national conditions produce unusually high Democratic turnout or if an unexpected primary outcome elevates a stronger challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,720Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the 2024 general election results where the Republican candidate secured 61.3 percent of the vote. Incumbent Bob Onder, first elected in 2024, faces limited opposition heading into the August 4, 2026 primaries, while Democratic primary contenders including Bethany Mann and Tommy Holstein have not yet consolidated significant support or fundraising momentum. The district's composition, encompassing St. Charles County and extending into rural areas, aligns with consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent for the Republican nominee accounts for these structural factors, though shifts could occur if national conditions produce unusually high Democratic turnout or if an unexpected primary outcome elevates a stronger challenger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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