Strong early voting in Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, already exceeding 3 million ballots by early September with a roughly 40% increase over the comparable 2022 pace, has anchored trader expectations for turnout in the 84-88% range. Sweden’s long-term average exceeds 80%, with 2022 at 84.2% and 2018 at 87.2%, supported by high institutional trust, simultaneous local and regional contests, and the current tight national race between the Tidö bloc and centre-left opposition. Record first-day advance participation and sustained momentum through the final weeks have elevated probabilities for the 84-86% and 86-88% outcomes while keeping lower or much higher results as outliers. No major disruptions have altered these patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour84-86 % 48%
86-88 % 26%
88 %+ 17%
82-84 % 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
<82 %
1%
82-84 %
14%
84-86 %
48%
86-88 %
26%
88 %+
12%
84-86 % 48%
86-88 % 26%
88 %+ 17%
82-84 % 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
<82 %
$2,074 Vol.
1%
82-84 %
$921 Vol.
14%
84-86 %
$1,800 Vol.
48%
86-88 %
$1,135 Vol.
26%
88 %+
$451 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).Strong early voting in Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, already exceeding 3 million ballots by early September with a roughly 40% increase over the comparable 2022 pace, has anchored trader expectations for turnout in the 84-88% range. Sweden’s long-term average exceeds 80%, with 2022 at 84.2% and 2018 at 87.2%, supported by high institutional trust, simultaneous local and regional contests, and the current tight national race between the Tidö bloc and centre-left opposition. Record first-day advance participation and sustained momentum through the final weeks have elevated probabilities for the 84-86% and 86-88% outcomes while keeping lower or much higher results as outliers. No major disruptions have altered these patterns.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$6,382Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).Strong early voting in Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, already exceeding 3 million ballots by early September with a roughly 40% increase over the comparable 2022 pace, has anchored trader expectations for turnout in the 84-88% range. Sweden’s long-term average exceeds 80%, with 2022 at 84.2% and 2018 at 87.2%, supported by high institutional trust, simultaneous local and regional contests, and the current tight national race between the Tidö bloc and centre-left opposition. Record first-day advance participation and sustained momentum through the final weeks have elevated probabilities for the 84-86% and 86-88% outcomes while keeping lower or much higher results as outliers. No major disruptions have altered these patterns.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$6,382Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Strong early voting in Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, already exceeding 3 million ballots by early September with a roughly 40% increase over the comparable 2022 pace, has anchored trader expectations for turnout in the 84-88% range. Sweden’s long-term average exceeds 80%, with 2022 at 84.2% and 2018 at 87.2%, supported by high institutional trust, simultaneous local and regional contests, and the current tight national race between the Tidö bloc and centre-left opposition. Record first-day advance participation and sustained momentum through the final weeks have elevated probabilities for the 84-86% and 86-88% outcomes while keeping lower or much higher results as outliers. No major disruptions have altered these patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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