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icon for Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17
Monde·Tonga

Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17

icon for Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17
Monde·Tonga

Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 52%

Sitiveni Selui 43%

Sione Tuifio Hui 42%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 39%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 52%

Sitiveni Selui 43%

Sione Tuifio Hui 42%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 39%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$20 Vol.

52%

Sitiveni Selui

$20 Vol.

43%

Sione Tuifio Hui

$20 Vol.

42%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$20 Vol.

39%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$20 Vol.

39%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).Five candidates are contesting the Ongo Niua 17 by-election on 8 October following the Supreme Court’s bribery conviction and unseating of the 2025 winner, former Finance Minister Lataifaingata’a Tangimana. The fragmented field includes Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, each drawing support from different villages across the small Niuas constituency. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with no candidate establishing a clear lead. Village-level loyalties, family connections, and limited campaigning time before polling keep probabilities closely matched. Any late endorsements, turnout differences among outer-island communities, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps ahead of the vote.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$100
Date de fin
8 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).Five candidates are contesting the Ongo Niua 17 by-election on 8 October following the Supreme Court’s bribery conviction and unseating of the 2025 winner, former Finance Minister Lataifaingata’a Tangimana. The fragmented field includes Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, each drawing support from different villages across the small Niuas constituency. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with no candidate establishing a clear lead. Village-level loyalties, family connections, and limited campaigning time before polling keep probabilities closely matched. Any late endorsements, turnout differences among outer-island communities, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps ahead of the vote.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$100
Date de fin
8 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana » à 52%, suivi de « Sitiveni Selui » à 43%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 52¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 9, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17 », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17 » est « 'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana » à 52%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Sitiveni Selui » à 43%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection partielle Ongo Niua 17 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.