Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit holding steady near 6-8 seats, equivalent to roughly 5-7% of the national vote, amid a fragmented right-wing bloc. Primary drivers include the party's finalized slate, which added its first Haredi candidate to broaden appeal beyond core supporters, alongside tensions with Likud over coalition dynamics and claims of efforts to sideline smaller allies. Competition from Religious Zionism, new parties crossing or nearing the 3.25% threshold, and undecided voters in a deadlocked contest between Netanyahu- and Eisenkot-led blocs keep outcomes tightly clustered. Trader consensus reflects these variables, with modest shifts possible from turnout among nationalist or ultra-Orthodox voters in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour4,5-5,5 % 38%
<4,5 % 25%
7,5 %+ 25%
5,5-6,5 % 0
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<4,5 %
25%
4,5-5,5 %
38%
5,5-6,5 %
43%
6,5-7,5 %
47%
7,5 %+
25%
4,5-5,5 % 38%
<4,5 % 25%
7,5 %+ 25%
5,5-6,5 % 0
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<4,5 %
$13 Vol.
25%
4,5-5,5 %
$13 Vol.
38%
5,5-6,5 %
$78 Vol.
43%
6,5-7,5 %
$114 Vol.
47%
7,5 %+
$231 Vol.
25%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit holding steady near 6-8 seats, equivalent to roughly 5-7% of the national vote, amid a fragmented right-wing bloc. Primary drivers include the party's finalized slate, which added its first Haredi candidate to broaden appeal beyond core supporters, alongside tensions with Likud over coalition dynamics and claims of efforts to sideline smaller allies. Competition from Religious Zionism, new parties crossing or nearing the 3.25% threshold, and undecided voters in a deadlocked contest between Netanyahu- and Eisenkot-led blocs keep outcomes tightly clustered. Trader consensus reflects these variables, with modest shifts possible from turnout among nationalist or ultra-Orthodox voters in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$449Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit holding steady near 6-8 seats, equivalent to roughly 5-7% of the national vote, amid a fragmented right-wing bloc. Primary drivers include the party's finalized slate, which added its first Haredi candidate to broaden appeal beyond core supporters, alongside tensions with Likud over coalition dynamics and claims of efforts to sideline smaller allies. Competition from Religious Zionism, new parties crossing or nearing the 3.25% threshold, and undecided voters in a deadlocked contest between Netanyahu- and Eisenkot-led blocs keep outcomes tightly clustered. Trader consensus reflects these variables, with modest shifts possible from turnout among nationalist or ultra-Orthodox voters in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$449Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit holding steady near 6-8 seats, equivalent to roughly 5-7% of the national vote, amid a fragmented right-wing bloc. Primary drivers include the party's finalized slate, which added its first Haredi candidate to broaden appeal beyond core supporters, alongside tensions with Likud over coalition dynamics and claims of efforts to sideline smaller allies. Competition from Religious Zionism, new parties crossing or nearing the 3.25% threshold, and undecided voters in a deadlocked contest between Netanyahu- and Eisenkot-led blocs keep outcomes tightly clustered. Trader consensus reflects these variables, with modest shifts possible from turnout among nationalist or ultra-Orthodox voters in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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