Recent polling from sources like Maariv and others places Yashar, the centrist party led by Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 projected Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, roughly aligning with 19-21% vote share amid competition from Likud and Bennett-Lapid's Together alliance. Final candidate lists submitted in early September, including Yashar's security-focused slate with figures like former Shin Bet chief Yoram Cohen, have stabilized the field without major mergers. Trader consensus on vote share ranges remains tight due to ongoing volatility in bloc arithmetic, undecided voters, and smaller parties near the electoral threshold that could shift mandates. Developments such as further polling shifts or campaign events on security and coalition viability could widen outcomes before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection en Israël : partage des voix de Yashar ?
Élection en Israël : partage des voix de Yashar ?
18-20 % 29%
16-18 % 28%
22-24 % 27%
24 %+ 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<16 %
24%
16-18 %
28%
18-20 %
29%
20-22 %
24%
22-24 %
27%
24 %+
26%
18-20 % 29%
16-18 % 28%
22-24 % 27%
24 %+ 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<16 %
$0 Vol.
24%
16-18 %
$0 Vol.
28%
18-20 %
$0 Vol.
29%
20-22 %
$0 Vol.
24%
22-24 %
$0 Vol.
27%
24 %+
$0 Vol.
26%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling from sources like Maariv and others places Yashar, the centrist party led by Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 projected Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, roughly aligning with 19-21% vote share amid competition from Likud and Bennett-Lapid's Together alliance. Final candidate lists submitted in early September, including Yashar's security-focused slate with figures like former Shin Bet chief Yoram Cohen, have stabilized the field without major mergers. Trader consensus on vote share ranges remains tight due to ongoing volatility in bloc arithmetic, undecided voters, and smaller parties near the electoral threshold that could shift mandates. Developments such as further polling shifts or campaign events on security and coalition viability could widen outcomes before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling from sources like Maariv and others places Yashar, the centrist party led by Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 projected Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, roughly aligning with 19-21% vote share amid competition from Likud and Bennett-Lapid's Together alliance. Final candidate lists submitted in early September, including Yashar's security-focused slate with figures like former Shin Bet chief Yoram Cohen, have stabilized the field without major mergers. Trader consensus on vote share ranges remains tight due to ongoing volatility in bloc arithmetic, undecided voters, and smaller parties near the electoral threshold that could shift mandates. Developments such as further polling shifts or campaign events on security and coalition viability could widen outcomes before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from sources like Maariv and others places Yashar, the centrist party led by Gadi Eisenkot, at 23-25 projected Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, roughly aligning with 19-21% vote share amid competition from Likud and Bennett-Lapid's Together alliance. Final candidate lists submitted in early September, including Yashar's security-focused slate with figures like former Shin Bet chief Yoram Cohen, have stabilized the field without major mergers. Trader consensus on vote share ranges remains tight due to ongoing volatility in bloc arithmetic, undecided voters, and smaller parties near the electoral threshold that could shift mandates. Developments such as further polling shifts or campaign events on security and coalition viability could widen outcomes before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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