Israel heads into its October 27, 2026 Knesset election with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu seeking a record seventh term amid polls showing his Likud-led right-wing and religious coalition projected below the 61-seat majority threshold. Former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot’s new Yashar party leads or ties in surveys, bolstered by opposition surplus-vote pacts and efforts to consolidate centrist and center-right support. Persistent coalition strains over Haredi military exemptions, security operations in Gaza and Lebanon, and Netanyahu’s ongoing corruption trial shape voter sentiment. Failure to secure a governing majority after the vote would likely end his tenure within weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNetanyahu meets Trump amid widening gaps on Iran war management
December 31 dips to 40%4%
The meeting between Netanyahu and Trump highlighted growing differences on handling the Iran conflict, underscoring diplomatic strains that influenced market perceptions of Netanyahu's political durability.




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