Trump's ongoing second term, with no active impeachment proceedings, cabinet-level 25th Amendment discussions, or personal statements signaling departure, underpins the 97% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. As president, Trump continues routine executive actions, diplomatic scheduling, and midterm election involvement while publicly discussing post-2028 plans, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents rarely exit early absent acute crises. Recent polling and commentary from opponents highlight concerns over age and leaks, yet these remain speculative without corresponding congressional or institutional momentum. Realistic shifts could stem from an unforeseen medical development, bipartisan Senate pressure following major scandals, or sudden leadership changes, though none register in current reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
$540,906 Vol.
$540,906 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$540,906 Vol.
$540,906 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's ongoing second term, with no active impeachment proceedings, cabinet-level 25th Amendment discussions, or personal statements signaling departure, underpins the 97% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. As president, Trump continues routine executive actions, diplomatic scheduling, and midterm election involvement while publicly discussing post-2028 plans, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents rarely exit early absent acute crises. Recent polling and commentary from opponents highlight concerns over age and leaks, yet these remain speculative without corresponding congressional or institutional momentum. Realistic shifts could stem from an unforeseen medical development, bipartisan Senate pressure following major scandals, or sudden leadership changes, though none register in current reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$540,906Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETRésolveur
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's ongoing second term, with no active impeachment proceedings, cabinet-level 25th Amendment discussions, or personal statements signaling departure, underpins the 97% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. As president, Trump continues routine executive actions, diplomatic scheduling, and midterm election involvement while publicly discussing post-2028 plans, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents rarely exit early absent acute crises. Recent polling and commentary from opponents highlight concerns over age and leaks, yet these remain speculative without corresponding congressional or institutional momentum. Realistic shifts could stem from an unforeseen medical development, bipartisan Senate pressure following major scandals, or sudden leadership changes, though none register in current reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$540,906Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETRésolveur
0x157Ce2d67...Trump's ongoing second term, with no active impeachment proceedings, cabinet-level 25th Amendment discussions, or personal statements signaling departure, underpins the 97% trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. As president, Trump continues routine executive actions, diplomatic scheduling, and midterm election involvement while publicly discussing post-2028 plans, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents rarely exit early absent acute crises. Recent polling and commentary from opponents highlight concerns over age and leaks, yet these remain speculative without corresponding congressional or institutional momentum. Realistic shifts could stem from an unforeseen medical development, bipartisan Senate pressure following major scandals, or sudden leadership changes, though none register in current reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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