Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, shows no verified signals of voluntary departure as of mid-2026. The president continues signing legislation, issuing executive actions, conducting foreign engagements, and advancing administration priorities without any public statements or credible reports suggesting resignation before 2027. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent for “No” aligns with this sustained activity and the absence of health, legal, or political developments that would typically prompt early exit. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unforeseen medical event or extraordinary circumstances forcing departure to avert impeachment or other institutional pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$20,281 Vol.
$20,281 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$20,281 Vol.
$20,281 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, shows no verified signals of voluntary departure as of mid-2026. The president continues signing legislation, issuing executive actions, conducting foreign engagements, and advancing administration priorities without any public statements or credible reports suggesting resignation before 2027. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent for “No” aligns with this sustained activity and the absence of health, legal, or political developments that would typically prompt early exit. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unforeseen medical event or extraordinary circumstances forcing departure to avert impeachment or other institutional pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$20,281Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, shows no verified signals of voluntary departure as of mid-2026. The president continues signing legislation, issuing executive actions, conducting foreign engagements, and advancing administration priorities without any public statements or credible reports suggesting resignation before 2027. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent for “No” aligns with this sustained activity and the absence of health, legal, or political developments that would typically prompt early exit. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unforeseen medical event or extraordinary circumstances forcing departure to avert impeachment or other institutional pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$20,281Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, shows no verified signals of voluntary departure as of mid-2026. The president continues signing legislation, issuing executive actions, conducting foreign engagements, and advancing administration priorities without any public statements or credible reports suggesting resignation before 2027. Trader consensus at 95.7 percent for “No” aligns with this sustained activity and the absence of health, legal, or political developments that would typically prompt early exit. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities remain narrow, such as an unforeseen medical event or extraordinary circumstances forcing departure to avert impeachment or other institutional pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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