Narendra Modi's position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by his third consecutive term that runs until 2029 following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and the NDA coalition's recent state-level victories, including decisive wins in Bihar and Delhi. On June 10, 2026, he reaches the milestone of the longest continuous tenure as an elected prime minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru's record, an achievement highlighted in official and party statements that underscore ongoing stability. No credible challenges from internal party shifts, opposition no-confidence motions, or structural pressures have emerged in recent months, consistent with the fixed parliamentary term and the BJP-led alliance's consolidated control across multiple states. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% probability for "No" aligns with these factors indicating continuity absent unexpected developments before the resolution date.