Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains stable heading into the second half of 2026, with his National Democratic Alliance coalition retaining a parliamentary majority after the 2024 elections and securing additional state assembly victories in Delhi and Bihar during 2025. On June 10, 2026, Modi surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru’s record to become India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, a milestone highlighted by senior BJP figures and underscoring continuity in leadership. The government continues to prioritize cabinet coordination, reforms, and public welfare initiatives with no scheduled national elections until 2029 and no evident procedural or coalition pressures that could trigger early removal. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% probability on “No” aligns with these structural and electoral factors that historically support full-term incumbency in India’s parliamentary system.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSortie de Modi d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Sortie de Modi d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
Oui
$109,213 Vol.
$109,213 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$109,213 Vol.
$109,213 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains stable heading into the second half of 2026, with his National Democratic Alliance coalition retaining a parliamentary majority after the 2024 elections and securing additional state assembly victories in Delhi and Bihar during 2025. On June 10, 2026, Modi surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru’s record to become India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, a milestone highlighted by senior BJP figures and underscoring continuity in leadership. The government continues to prioritize cabinet coordination, reforms, and public welfare initiatives with no scheduled national elections until 2029 and no evident procedural or coalition pressures that could trigger early removal. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% probability on “No” aligns with these structural and electoral factors that historically support full-term incumbency in India’s parliamentary system.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$109,213Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains stable heading into the second half of 2026, with his National Democratic Alliance coalition retaining a parliamentary majority after the 2024 elections and securing additional state assembly victories in Delhi and Bihar during 2025. On June 10, 2026, Modi surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru’s record to become India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, a milestone highlighted by senior BJP figures and underscoring continuity in leadership. The government continues to prioritize cabinet coordination, reforms, and public welfare initiatives with no scheduled national elections until 2029 and no evident procedural or coalition pressures that could trigger early removal. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% probability on “No” aligns with these structural and electoral factors that historically support full-term incumbency in India’s parliamentary system.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$109,213Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains stable heading into the second half of 2026, with his National Democratic Alliance coalition retaining a parliamentary majority after the 2024 elections and securing additional state assembly victories in Delhi and Bihar during 2025. On June 10, 2026, Modi surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru’s record to become India’s longest-serving elected prime minister, a milestone highlighted by senior BJP figures and underscoring continuity in leadership. The government continues to prioritize cabinet coordination, reforms, and public welfare initiatives with no scheduled national elections until 2029 and no evident procedural or coalition pressures that could trigger early removal. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.8% probability on “No” aligns with these structural and electoral factors that historically support full-term incumbency in India’s parliamentary system.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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