Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 64 percent victory in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP at 87.5 percent. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary between Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas occurs too close to the general election to shift fundamentals, and no recent polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. Malliotakis faces no primary opposition, reinforcing the low 11 percent Democratic probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$14,892 Vol.
$14,892 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$14,892 Vol.
$14,892 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Republican Party
$8,200 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$6,692 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 64 percent victory in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP at 87.5 percent. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary between Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas occurs too close to the general election to shift fundamentals, and no recent polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. Malliotakis faces no primary opposition, reinforcing the low 11 percent Democratic probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$14,892Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 64 percent victory in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP at 87.5 percent. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary between Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas occurs too close to the general election to shift fundamentals, and no recent polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. Malliotakis faces no primary opposition, reinforcing the low 11 percent Democratic probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,892Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 64 percent victory in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP at 87.5 percent. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary between Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas occurs too close to the general election to shift fundamentals, and no recent polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. Malliotakis faces no primary opposition, reinforcing the low 11 percent Democratic probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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