John McGuire secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Tom Perriello captured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80 percent. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins for Trump and McGuire in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent. Perriello’s stronger fundraising and a summer poll showing a near-toss-up have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet independent expenditures and the absence of major late shifts in voter sentiment have kept probabilities stable. McGuire’s refusal of debates and questions over stock transactions have drawn criticism without altering the race’s structural outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants VA-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants VA-05
$66,868 Vol.
$66,868 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
John McGuire (R)
84%
Tom Perriello (D)
17%
$66,868 Vol.
$66,868 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
John McGuire (R)
$32,613 Vol.
84%
Tom Perriello (D)
$34,255 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Tom Perriello captured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80 percent. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins for Trump and McGuire in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent. Perriello’s stronger fundraising and a summer poll showing a near-toss-up have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet independent expenditures and the absence of major late shifts in voter sentiment have kept probabilities stable. McGuire’s refusal of debates and questions over stock transactions have drawn criticism without altering the race’s structural outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$66,868Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Tom Perriello captured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80 percent. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins for Trump and McGuire in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent. Perriello’s stronger fundraising and a summer poll showing a near-toss-up have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet independent expenditures and the absence of major late shifts in voter sentiment have kept probabilities stable. McGuire’s refusal of debates and questions over stock transactions have drawn criticism without altering the race’s structural outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$66,868Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...John McGuire secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Tom Perriello captured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80 percent. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins for Trump and McGuire in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent. Perriello’s stronger fundraising and a summer poll showing a near-toss-up have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet independent expenditures and the absence of major late shifts in voter sentiment have kept probabilities stable. McGuire’s refusal of debates and questions over stock transactions have drawn criticism without altering the race’s structural outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes