South Dakota's at-large congressional seat is open following incumbent Dusty Johnson's unsuccessful 2026 gubernatorial primary bid. Republican nominee Marty Jackley secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June primary, drawing on his prior service as state attorney general and strong name recognition across the state. The Democratic nominee, Nikki Gronli, faces an electorate where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 2008 amid consistent statewide partisan advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican outcome reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Democrats. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain historically rare in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre SD-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre SD-AL
$28,718 Vol.
$28,718 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
4%
$28,718 Vol.
$28,718 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$21,029 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$7,688 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional seat is open following incumbent Dusty Johnson's unsuccessful 2026 gubernatorial primary bid. Republican nominee Marty Jackley secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June primary, drawing on his prior service as state attorney general and strong name recognition across the state. The Democratic nominee, Nikki Gronli, faces an electorate where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 2008 amid consistent statewide partisan advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican outcome reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Democrats. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain historically rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$28,718Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional seat is open following incumbent Dusty Johnson's unsuccessful 2026 gubernatorial primary bid. Republican nominee Marty Jackley secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June primary, drawing on his prior service as state attorney general and strong name recognition across the state. The Democratic nominee, Nikki Gronli, faces an electorate where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 2008 amid consistent statewide partisan advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican outcome reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Democrats. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain historically rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,718Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional seat is open following incumbent Dusty Johnson's unsuccessful 2026 gubernatorial primary bid. Republican nominee Marty Jackley secured the nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June primary, drawing on his prior service as state attorney general and strong name recognition across the state. The Democratic nominee, Nikki Gronli, faces an electorate where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 2008 amid consistent statewide partisan advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican outcome reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Democrats. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain historically rare in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes