South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The June 2 Republican primary delivered a decisive win for state Attorney General Marty Jackley, who captured roughly 80 percent of the vote and now faces a limited Democratic field in November. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with the state's voting history and limited recent polling shifts. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural advantages, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre SD-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre SD-AL
$16,933 Vol.
$16,933 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
5%
$16,933 Vol.
$16,933 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$9,474 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$7,459 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The June 2 Republican primary delivered a decisive win for state Attorney General Marty Jackley, who captured roughly 80 percent of the vote and now faces a limited Democratic field in November. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with the state's voting history and limited recent polling shifts. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural advantages, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$16,933Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The June 2 Republican primary delivered a decisive win for state Attorney General Marty Jackley, who captured roughly 80 percent of the vote and now faces a limited Democratic field in November. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with the state's voting history and limited recent polling shifts. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural advantages, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,933Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The June 2 Republican primary delivered a decisive win for state Attorney General Marty Jackley, who captured roughly 80 percent of the vote and now faces a limited Democratic field in November. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with the state's voting history and limited recent polling shifts. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural advantages, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the gap before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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