Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state’s consistent conservative voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. The open seat created by incumbent Harriet Hageman’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary won by Secretary of State Chuck Gray on August 18, 2026, positioning him as the nominee against Democrat Lisa Kinney. All major forecasters rate the November 3 contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 40 points and limited opposition resources. A commanding market lead stems from these structural advantages and the lack of recent polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Republican nominee or an unprecedented national Democratic surge, though both remain remote given the district’s baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre WY-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre WY-AL
$44,175 Vol.
$44,175 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
97%
Parti démocrate
<1%
$44,175 Vol.
$44,175 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$20,234 Vol.
97%
Parti démocrate
$23,941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state’s consistent conservative voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. The open seat created by incumbent Harriet Hageman’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary won by Secretary of State Chuck Gray on August 18, 2026, positioning him as the nominee against Democrat Lisa Kinney. All major forecasters rate the November 3 contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 40 points and limited opposition resources. A commanding market lead stems from these structural advantages and the lack of recent polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Republican nominee or an unprecedented national Democratic surge, though both remain remote given the district’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$44,175Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state’s consistent conservative voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. The open seat created by incumbent Harriet Hageman’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary won by Secretary of State Chuck Gray on August 18, 2026, positioning him as the nominee against Democrat Lisa Kinney. All major forecasters rate the November 3 contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 40 points and limited opposition resources. A commanding market lead stems from these structural advantages and the lack of recent polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Republican nominee or an unprecedented national Democratic surge, though both remain remote given the district’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,175Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains firmly in Republican hands due to the state’s consistent conservative voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. The open seat created by incumbent Harriet Hageman’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary won by Secretary of State Chuck Gray on August 18, 2026, positioning him as the nominee against Democrat Lisa Kinney. All major forecasters rate the November 3 contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 40 points and limited opposition resources. A commanding market lead stems from these structural advantages and the lack of recent polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the Republican nominee or an unprecedented national Democratic surge, though both remain remote given the district’s baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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