The solidly Republican tilt of Kansas's 2nd congressional district underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the GOP primary on August 4 with roughly 80 percent of the vote, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Don Coover, who advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its eastern Kansas footprint, Trump-era voting margins near 59 percent, and consistent preference for Republican candidates in House races. With no major shifts in polling aggregates or candidate developments since the primaries, the implied probabilities align with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of competitive factors that might narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKS-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
KS-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
89%
Parti démocrate
13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,729 Vol.
89%
Parti démocrate
$4,606 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Kansas's 2nd congressional district underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the GOP primary on August 4 with roughly 80 percent of the vote, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Don Coover, who advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its eastern Kansas footprint, Trump-era voting margins near 59 percent, and consistent preference for Republican candidates in House races. With no major shifts in polling aggregates or candidate developments since the primaries, the implied probabilities align with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of competitive factors that might narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$9,336Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Kansas's 2nd congressional district underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the GOP primary on August 4 with roughly 80 percent of the vote, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Don Coover, who advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its eastern Kansas footprint, Trump-era voting margins near 59 percent, and consistent preference for Republican candidates in House races. With no major shifts in polling aggregates or candidate developments since the primaries, the implied probabilities align with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of competitive factors that might narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,336Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Kansas's 2nd congressional district underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the GOP primary on August 4 with roughly 80 percent of the vote, positioning him for the November general election against Democrat Don Coover, who advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its eastern Kansas footprint, Trump-era voting margins near 59 percent, and consistent preference for Republican candidates in House races. With no major shifts in polling aggregates or candidate developments since the primaries, the implied probabilities align with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of competitive factors that might narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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