Idaho’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index exceeding R+20 and its history of large GOP margins. No significant late-cycle developments have altered the outlook. A major personal or ethical controversy involving Fulcher, a national political realignment of unusual magnitude, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts lack current evidence in primary results or district fundamentals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourID-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
ID-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
2%
$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$21,726 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$12,824 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index exceeding R+20 and its history of large GOP margins. No significant late-cycle developments have altered the outlook. A major personal or ethical controversy involving Fulcher, a national political realignment of unusual magnitude, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts lack current evidence in primary results or district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$34,550Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index exceeding R+20 and its history of large GOP margins. No significant late-cycle developments have altered the outlook. A major personal or ethical controversy involving Fulcher, a national political realignment of unusual magnitude, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts lack current evidence in primary results or district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,550Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index exceeding R+20 and its history of large GOP margins. No significant late-cycle developments have altered the outlook. A major personal or ethical controversy involving Fulcher, a national political realignment of unusual magnitude, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts lack current evidence in primary results or district fundamentals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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