Florida's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open contest following Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement contributing to the current 83.5% Republican implied probability on Polymarket. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Dunn's 61.6% 2024 margin and Florida's broader 24–4 Republican House edge under the new map, underpins trader expectations that the GOP nominee will prevail. A crowded Republican primary featuring candidates such as Keith Gross, Evan Power, and Luke Murphy has centered on alignment with Donald Trump and standard conservative priorities like immigration and tariffs, while the Democratic primary field has drawn less attention and fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, and no major late developments have altered the underlying structural advantage for Republicans ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFL-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
FL-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
84%
Parti démocrate
17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,238 Vol.
84%
Parti démocrate
$3,418 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open contest following Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement contributing to the current 83.5% Republican implied probability on Polymarket. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Dunn's 61.6% 2024 margin and Florida's broader 24–4 Republican House edge under the new map, underpins trader expectations that the GOP nominee will prevail. A crowded Republican primary featuring candidates such as Keith Gross, Evan Power, and Luke Murphy has centered on alignment with Donald Trump and standard conservative priorities like immigration and tariffs, while the Democratic primary field has drawn less attention and fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, and no major late developments have altered the underlying structural advantage for Republicans ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,656Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open contest following Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement contributing to the current 83.5% Republican implied probability on Polymarket. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Dunn's 61.6% 2024 margin and Florida's broader 24–4 Republican House edge under the new map, underpins trader expectations that the GOP nominee will prevail. A crowded Republican primary featuring candidates such as Keith Gross, Evan Power, and Luke Murphy has centered on alignment with Donald Trump and standard conservative priorities like immigration and tariffs, while the Democratic primary field has drawn less attention and fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, and no major late developments have altered the underlying structural advantage for Republicans ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,656Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the open contest following Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement contributing to the current 83.5% Republican implied probability on Polymarket. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Dunn's 61.6% 2024 margin and Florida's broader 24–4 Republican House edge under the new map, underpins trader expectations that the GOP nominee will prevail. A crowded Republican primary featuring candidates such as Keith Gross, Evan Power, and Luke Murphy has centered on alignment with Donald Trump and standard conservative priorities like immigration and tariffs, while the Democratic primary field has drawn less attention and fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, and no major late developments have altered the underlying structural advantage for Republicans ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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