Incumbent Republican Mike Turner seeks re-election in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District, a Dayton-area seat that leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4 and recent presidential results showing an eight-point Trump margin under the new map. Turner won his primary uncontested while Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker secured her nomination on May 5, 2026, in a multi-candidate field. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Turner’s long incumbency and the district’s structural advantages for the GOP. Traders price the Republican outcome at 73.5 percent, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics since the primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-10
$18,582 Vol.
$18,582 Vol.
Parti républicain
74%
Parti démocrate
27%
$18,582 Vol.
$18,582 Vol.
Parti républicain
74%
Parti démocrate
27%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Turner seeks re-election in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District, a Dayton-area seat that leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4 and recent presidential results showing an eight-point Trump margin under the new map. Turner won his primary uncontested while Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker secured her nomination on May 5, 2026, in a multi-candidate field. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Turner’s long incumbency and the district’s structural advantages for the GOP. Traders price the Republican outcome at 73.5 percent, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics since the primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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