Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher holds a commanding position in the TX-07 race, reflected in the 94% Democratic consensus, due to the district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index and her consistent reelection margins above 60%. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Fletcher advanced unopposed in the March primary, while Republican Alexander Hale emerged from a May runoff with limited fundraising and visibility. Recent redistricting left the Houston-area district’s Democratic tilt largely intact. A late national Republican surge, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts unlikely to overcome the current trader-implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,837 Vol.
$21,837 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$21,837 Vol.
$21,837 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$12,597 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$9,240 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher holds a commanding position in the TX-07 race, reflected in the 94% Democratic consensus, due to the district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index and her consistent reelection margins above 60%. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Fletcher advanced unopposed in the March primary, while Republican Alexander Hale emerged from a May runoff with limited fundraising and visibility. Recent redistricting left the Houston-area district’s Democratic tilt largely intact. A late national Republican surge, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts unlikely to overcome the current trader-implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$21,837Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher holds a commanding position in the TX-07 race, reflected in the 94% Democratic consensus, due to the district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index and her consistent reelection margins above 60%. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Fletcher advanced unopposed in the March primary, while Republican Alexander Hale emerged from a May runoff with limited fundraising and visibility. Recent redistricting left the Houston-area district’s Democratic tilt largely intact. A late national Republican surge, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts unlikely to overcome the current trader-implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,837Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lizzie Fletcher holds a commanding position in the TX-07 race, reflected in the 94% Democratic consensus, due to the district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index and her consistent reelection margins above 60%. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Fletcher advanced unopposed in the March primary, while Republican Alexander Hale emerged from a May runoff with limited fundraising and visibility. Recent redistricting left the Houston-area district’s Democratic tilt largely intact. A late national Republican surge, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such shifts unlikely to overcome the current trader-implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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