Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who has represented Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District since 1993 and won re-election with roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024, faces minimal opposition heading into the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. The Hampton Roads-based district maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in repeated double-digit margins, limited Republican recruitment, and the absence of recent polling or fundraising surges favoring the GOP. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent aligns with these structural factors, though an unusually strong national Republican environment, late primary upset, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$35,435 Vol.
$35,435 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$35,435 Vol.
$35,435 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who has represented Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District since 1993 and won re-election with roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024, faces minimal opposition heading into the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. The Hampton Roads-based district maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in repeated double-digit margins, limited Republican recruitment, and the absence of recent polling or fundraising surges favoring the GOP. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent aligns with these structural factors, though an unusually strong national Republican environment, late primary upset, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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