Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition and alignment with the district's voter base in Norfolk and surrounding areas. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for these structural factors, while the 6.5% Republican share incorporates limited upside from a national environment shift, primary surprises, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
VA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$35,435 Vol.
$35,435 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$35,435 Vol.
$35,435 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$20,078 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition and alignment with the district's voter base in Norfolk and surrounding areas. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for these structural factors, while the 6.5% Republican share incorporates limited upside from a national environment shift, primary surprises, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,435Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition and alignment with the district's voter base in Norfolk and surrounding areas. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for these structural factors, while the 6.5% Republican share incorporates limited upside from a national environment shift, primary surprises, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,435Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition and alignment with the district's voter base in Norfolk and surrounding areas. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee accounts for these structural factors, while the 6.5% Republican share incorporates limited upside from a national environment shift, primary surprises, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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