Maryland’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, who assumed the seat after the 2024 cycle, faces a multi-candidate Democratic primary on June 23 but enters with established name recognition and institutional support. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile in a district where GOP general-election performance has historically lagged far behind. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% therefore tracks the structural partisan baseline, limited Republican recruitment, and absence of district-specific disruptions. A credible challenge would require either an unusually weak Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s underlying electoral math.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-03
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-03
$27,266 Vol.
$27,266 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$27,266 Vol.
$27,266 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$20,444 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$6,822 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, who assumed the seat after the 2024 cycle, faces a multi-candidate Democratic primary on June 23 but enters with established name recognition and institutional support. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile in a district where GOP general-election performance has historically lagged far behind. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% therefore tracks the structural partisan baseline, limited Republican recruitment, and absence of district-specific disruptions. A credible challenge would require either an unusually weak Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s underlying electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,266Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, who assumed the seat after the 2024 cycle, faces a multi-candidate Democratic primary on June 23 but enters with established name recognition and institutional support. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile in a district where GOP general-election performance has historically lagged far behind. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% therefore tracks the structural partisan baseline, limited Republican recruitment, and absence of district-specific disruptions. A credible challenge would require either an unusually weak Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s underlying electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,266Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, who assumed the seat after the 2024 cycle, faces a multi-candidate Democratic primary on June 23 but enters with established name recognition and institutional support. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile in a district where GOP general-election performance has historically lagged far behind. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5% therefore tracks the structural partisan baseline, limited Republican recruitment, and absence of district-specific disruptions. A credible challenge would require either an unusually weak Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s underlying electoral math.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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