North Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt under the current map, with historical voting patterns and recent redistricting contributing to an environment where the GOP nominee holds a clear edge. Incumbent Representative Greg Murphy advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. secured his party's nomination in March after defeating Allison Jaslow. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and lack of competitive challengers. Traders price Republican victory at 85.5% as the general election approaches in November, reflecting these structural factors and limited Democratic infrastructure in the coastal district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNC-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NC-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$18,921 Vol.
$18,921 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
86%
Parti démocrate
14%
$18,921 Vol.
$18,921 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$14,269 Vol.
86%
Parti démocrate
$4,652 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt under the current map, with historical voting patterns and recent redistricting contributing to an environment where the GOP nominee holds a clear edge. Incumbent Representative Greg Murphy advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. secured his party's nomination in March after defeating Allison Jaslow. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and lack of competitive challengers. Traders price Republican victory at 85.5% as the general election approaches in November, reflecting these structural factors and limited Democratic infrastructure in the coastal district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$18,921Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt under the current map, with historical voting patterns and recent redistricting contributing to an environment where the GOP nominee holds a clear edge. Incumbent Representative Greg Murphy advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. secured his party's nomination in March after defeating Allison Jaslow. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and lack of competitive challengers. Traders price Republican victory at 85.5% as the general election approaches in November, reflecting these structural factors and limited Democratic infrastructure in the coastal district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,921Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt under the current map, with historical voting patterns and recent redistricting contributing to an environment where the GOP nominee holds a clear edge. Incumbent Representative Greg Murphy advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. secured his party's nomination in March after defeating Allison Jaslow. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and lack of competitive challengers. Traders price Republican victory at 85.5% as the general election approaches in November, reflecting these structural factors and limited Democratic infrastructure in the coastal district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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