The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% implied probability in the MI-11 House race due to the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index, its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and the open-seat dynamics created by incumbent Haley Stevens’ decision to seek the U.S. Senate. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4, 2026 primary, while the Republican field remains limited to a single presumptive nominee. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. A late primary surprise producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a national political shift favoring Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican campaign could narrow the margin, though current structural and fundraising patterns make such outcomes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-11
$56,329 Vol.
$56,329 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
1%
$56,329 Vol.
$56,329 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$44,047 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$12,283 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% implied probability in the MI-11 House race due to the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index, its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and the open-seat dynamics created by incumbent Haley Stevens’ decision to seek the U.S. Senate. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4, 2026 primary, while the Republican field remains limited to a single presumptive nominee. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. A late primary surprise producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a national political shift favoring Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican campaign could narrow the margin, though current structural and fundraising patterns make such outcomes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$56,329Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% implied probability in the MI-11 House race due to the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index, its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and the open-seat dynamics created by incumbent Haley Stevens’ decision to seek the U.S. Senate. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4, 2026 primary, while the Republican field remains limited to a single presumptive nominee. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. A late primary surprise producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a national political shift favoring Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican campaign could narrow the margin, though current structural and fundraising patterns make such outcomes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$56,329Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% implied probability in the MI-11 House race due to the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index, its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and the open-seat dynamics created by incumbent Haley Stevens’ decision to seek the U.S. Senate. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4, 2026 primary, while the Republican field remains limited to a single presumptive nominee. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. A late primary surprise producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a national political shift favoring Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican campaign could narrow the margin, though current structural and fundraising patterns make such outcomes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes