Michigan's 11th congressional district features a D+9 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens (D) launched a U.S. Senate bid. State Senator Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly half the vote, while Troy Mayor Ethan Baker advanced as the Republican nominee. Major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus in the market reflects this structural advantage and the absence of significant recent developments that would shift the balance. A national Republican wave, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current fundamentals and the November 3, 2026 timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-11
$71,074 Vol.
$71,074 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
3%
$71,074 Vol.
$71,074 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$49,052 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$22,022 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district features a D+9 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens (D) launched a U.S. Senate bid. State Senator Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly half the vote, while Troy Mayor Ethan Baker advanced as the Republican nominee. Major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus in the market reflects this structural advantage and the absence of significant recent developments that would shift the balance. A national Republican wave, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current fundamentals and the November 3, 2026 timeline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$71,074Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district features a D+9 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens (D) launched a U.S. Senate bid. State Senator Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly half the vote, while Troy Mayor Ethan Baker advanced as the Republican nominee. Major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus in the market reflects this structural advantage and the absence of significant recent developments that would shift the balance. A national Republican wave, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current fundamentals and the November 3, 2026 timeline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$71,074Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district features a D+9 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens (D) launched a U.S. Senate bid. State Senator Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly half the vote, while Troy Mayor Ethan Baker advanced as the Republican nominee. Major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus in the market reflects this structural advantage and the absence of significant recent developments that would shift the balance. A national Republican wave, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current fundamentals and the November 3, 2026 timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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