Michigan's 12th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Rashida Tlaib, the sitting Democratic representative first elected in 2018, faces only token Republican opposition from James Hooper in the November 2026 general election, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The August 4 primary remains the immediate procedural step, but no polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge to the Democratic hold. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee based on structural factors including voter registration patterns, past turnout, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the Detroit-area district. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or dramatic national realignment within the five months before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-12
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MI-12
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
5%
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$17,714 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$11,175 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Rashida Tlaib, the sitting Democratic representative first elected in 2018, faces only token Republican opposition from James Hooper in the November 2026 general election, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The August 4 primary remains the immediate procedural step, but no polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge to the Democratic hold. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee based on structural factors including voter registration patterns, past turnout, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the Detroit-area district. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or dramatic national realignment within the five months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$28,890Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Rashida Tlaib, the sitting Democratic representative first elected in 2018, faces only token Republican opposition from James Hooper in the November 2026 general election, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The August 4 primary remains the immediate procedural step, but no polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge to the Democratic hold. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee based on structural factors including voter registration patterns, past turnout, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the Detroit-area district. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or dramatic national realignment within the five months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,890Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles. Rashida Tlaib, the sitting Democratic representative first elected in 2018, faces only token Republican opposition from James Hooper in the November 2026 general election, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The August 4 primary remains the immediate procedural step, but no polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge to the Democratic hold. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee based on structural factors including voter registration patterns, past turnout, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure in the Detroit-area district. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or dramatic national realignment within the five months before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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