Troy Balderson, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in Ohio's 12th congressional district due to its consistent R+15 partisan voting index and central Ohio location, where Republican candidates have routinely secured wide margins in recent cycles. The May 2026 primary left Balderson unopposed on the GOP side while Democrat Jerrad Christian emerged from a low-turnout contest, limiting early general-election momentum for the challenger. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the GOP at 93.5% implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from an unusually strong Democratic national environment, unexpected candidate controversies, or turnout surprises in suburban pockets, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-12
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-12
$33,932 Vol.
$33,932 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
$33,932 Vol.
$33,932 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$24,097 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$9,834 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in Ohio's 12th congressional district due to its consistent R+15 partisan voting index and central Ohio location, where Republican candidates have routinely secured wide margins in recent cycles. The May 2026 primary left Balderson unopposed on the GOP side while Democrat Jerrad Christian emerged from a low-turnout contest, limiting early general-election momentum for the challenger. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the GOP at 93.5% implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from an unusually strong Democratic national environment, unexpected candidate controversies, or turnout surprises in suburban pockets, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,932Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in Ohio's 12th congressional district due to its consistent R+15 partisan voting index and central Ohio location, where Republican candidates have routinely secured wide margins in recent cycles. The May 2026 primary left Balderson unopposed on the GOP side while Democrat Jerrad Christian emerged from a low-turnout contest, limiting early general-election momentum for the challenger. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the GOP at 93.5% implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from an unusually strong Democratic national environment, unexpected candidate controversies, or turnout surprises in suburban pockets, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,932Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Balderson, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in Ohio's 12th congressional district due to its consistent R+15 partisan voting index and central Ohio location, where Republican candidates have routinely secured wide margins in recent cycles. The May 2026 primary left Balderson unopposed on the GOP side while Democrat Jerrad Christian emerged from a low-turnout contest, limiting early general-election momentum for the challenger. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the GOP at 93.5% implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could occur from an unusually strong Democratic national environment, unexpected candidate controversies, or turnout surprises in suburban pockets, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes