Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Kirchner and an independent in the November general election. OH-11 encompasses heavily Democratic areas in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County, producing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as Lean or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive race. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing could alter outcomes, though such developments remain rare in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-11
$27,700 Vol.
$27,700 Vol.
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
4%
$27,700 Vol.
$27,700 Vol.
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Kirchner and an independent in the November general election. OH-11 encompasses heavily Democratic areas in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County, producing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as Lean or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive race. A late scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing could alter outcomes, though such developments remain rare in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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