Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, while Democrat Zyon Khalifa advanced from the June 23 runoff to become the general election nominee. South Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt based on prior voting patterns and redistricting, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural challenges in a district where Republicans have held the seat continuously for decades. Markets also price specific candidates and "other" outcomes near 50%, reflecting residual uncertainty over turnout, campaign developments, or late shifts before ballots close. No major new catalysts have emerged since the primaries concluded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
SC-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$32,858 Vol.
$32,858 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
85%
Parti démocrate
17%
$32,858 Vol.
$32,858 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$11,510 Vol.
85%
Parti démocrate
$21,348 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, while Democrat Zyon Khalifa advanced from the June 23 runoff to become the general election nominee. South Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt based on prior voting patterns and redistricting, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural challenges in a district where Republicans have held the seat continuously for decades. Markets also price specific candidates and "other" outcomes near 50%, reflecting residual uncertainty over turnout, campaign developments, or late shifts before ballots close. No major new catalysts have emerged since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,858Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, while Democrat Zyon Khalifa advanced from the June 23 runoff to become the general election nominee. South Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt based on prior voting patterns and redistricting, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural challenges in a district where Republicans have held the seat continuously for decades. Markets also price specific candidates and "other" outcomes near 50%, reflecting residual uncertainty over turnout, campaign developments, or late shifts before ballots close. No major new catalysts have emerged since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,858Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, while Democrat Zyon Khalifa advanced from the June 23 runoff to become the general election nominee. South Carolina's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt based on prior voting patterns and redistricting, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural challenges in a district where Republicans have held the seat continuously for decades. Markets also price specific candidates and "other" outcomes near 50%, reflecting residual uncertainty over turnout, campaign developments, or late shifts before ballots close. No major new catalysts have emerged since the primaries concluded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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