Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+15 partisan voting index and Moolenaar’s 65 percent victory in 2024 underpin the 97 percent Republican consensus in the market. Recent August primaries confirmed Moolenaar’s unopposed renomination while Ambrose prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest, offering no immediate momentum shift. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with its rural and suburban western Michigan composition. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, an unforeseen scandal, or candidate withdrawal before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$53,819 Vol.
$53,819 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
97%
Parti démocrate
1%
$53,819 Vol.
$53,819 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$22,732 Vol.
97%
Parti démocrate
$31,087 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+15 partisan voting index and Moolenaar’s 65 percent victory in 2024 underpin the 97 percent Republican consensus in the market. Recent August primaries confirmed Moolenaar’s unopposed renomination while Ambrose prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest, offering no immediate momentum shift. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with its rural and suburban western Michigan composition. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, an unforeseen scandal, or candidate withdrawal before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$53,819Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+15 partisan voting index and Moolenaar’s 65 percent victory in 2024 underpin the 97 percent Republican consensus in the market. Recent August primaries confirmed Moolenaar’s unopposed renomination while Ambrose prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest, offering no immediate momentum shift. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with its rural and suburban western Michigan composition. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, an unforeseen scandal, or candidate withdrawal before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,819Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+15 partisan voting index and Moolenaar’s 65 percent victory in 2024 underpin the 97 percent Republican consensus in the market. Recent August primaries confirmed Moolenaar’s unopposed renomination while Ambrose prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest, offering no immediate momentum shift. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with its rural and suburban western Michigan composition. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment, an unforeseen scandal, or candidate withdrawal before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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