Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, with the open seat created by incumbent Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid further shaping the race ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, drawing substantial fundraising and endorsements, while Democratic contenders face structural headwinds in a district that delivered over 66% of the vote to Republicans in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's established patterns and the limited competitive pathways for Democrats. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic performance, or unforeseen shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-19
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-19
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,643 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$1,173 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, with the open seat created by incumbent Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid further shaping the race ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, drawing substantial fundraising and endorsements, while Democratic contenders face structural headwinds in a district that delivered over 66% of the vote to Republicans in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's established patterns and the limited competitive pathways for Democrats. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic performance, or unforeseen shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,817Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, with the open seat created by incumbent Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid further shaping the race ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, drawing substantial fundraising and endorsements, while Democratic contenders face structural headwinds in a district that delivered over 66% of the vote to Republicans in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's established patterns and the limited competitive pathways for Democrats. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic performance, or unforeseen shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,817Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, with the open seat created by incumbent Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid further shaping the race ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, drawing substantial fundraising and endorsements, while Democratic contenders face structural headwinds in a district that delivered over 66% of the vote to Republicans in the prior cycle. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's established patterns and the limited competitive pathways for Democrats. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic performance, or unforeseen shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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