Florida's 19th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid, has not shifted this baseline, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3 general election Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 18 vote, while Democratic contenders remain low-profile. Traders price the Republican nominee at 92.5% because structural factors and historical voting patterns outweigh the open-seat uncertainty. A national Democratic wave, an unusually strong challenger in the Democratic primary, or a late Republican scandal could narrow the gap before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-19
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-19
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,643 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$1,173 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid, has not shifted this baseline, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3 general election Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 18 vote, while Democratic contenders remain low-profile. Traders price the Republican nominee at 92.5% because structural factors and historical voting patterns outweigh the open-seat uncertainty. A national Democratic wave, an unusually strong challenger in the Democratic primary, or a late Republican scandal could narrow the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,817Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid, has not shifted this baseline, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3 general election Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 18 vote, while Democratic contenders remain low-profile. Traders price the Republican nominee at 92.5% because structural factors and historical voting patterns outweigh the open-seat uncertainty. A national Democratic wave, an unusually strong challenger in the Democratic primary, or a late Republican scandal could narrow the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,817Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid, has not shifted this baseline, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3 general election Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 18 vote, while Democratic contenders remain low-profile. Traders price the Republican nominee at 92.5% because structural factors and historical voting patterns outweigh the open-seat uncertainty. A national Democratic wave, an unusually strong challenger in the Democratic primary, or a late Republican scandal could narrow the gap before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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