The Republican nominee holds a structural edge in Colorado's 3rd congressional district due to the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and freshman incumbent Jeff Hurd's 2024 victory margin of roughly five points. Recent primary outcomes solidified Hurd as the GOP standard-bearer after intraparty endorsement shifts, while Democrat Dwayne Romero emerged from his primary. A late-July internal poll showed the race statistically tied at 46-45 percent with nine percent undecided, yet traders assign Republicans a 64.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's western slope and rural voter base, Hurd's cash-on-hand advantage, and historical patterns in similar lean-Republican seats heading into the November 2026 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCO-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CO-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
66%
Parti démocrate
36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$1,673 Vol.
66%
Parti démocrate
$3,269 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a structural edge in Colorado's 3rd congressional district due to the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and freshman incumbent Jeff Hurd's 2024 victory margin of roughly five points. Recent primary outcomes solidified Hurd as the GOP standard-bearer after intraparty endorsement shifts, while Democrat Dwayne Romero emerged from his primary. A late-July internal poll showed the race statistically tied at 46-45 percent with nine percent undecided, yet traders assign Republicans a 64.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's western slope and rural voter base, Hurd's cash-on-hand advantage, and historical patterns in similar lean-Republican seats heading into the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$4,942Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a structural edge in Colorado's 3rd congressional district due to the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and freshman incumbent Jeff Hurd's 2024 victory margin of roughly five points. Recent primary outcomes solidified Hurd as the GOP standard-bearer after intraparty endorsement shifts, while Democrat Dwayne Romero emerged from his primary. A late-July internal poll showed the race statistically tied at 46-45 percent with nine percent undecided, yet traders assign Republicans a 64.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's western slope and rural voter base, Hurd's cash-on-hand advantage, and historical patterns in similar lean-Republican seats heading into the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,942Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a structural edge in Colorado's 3rd congressional district due to the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and freshman incumbent Jeff Hurd's 2024 victory margin of roughly five points. Recent primary outcomes solidified Hurd as the GOP standard-bearer after intraparty endorsement shifts, while Democrat Dwayne Romero emerged from his primary. A late-July internal poll showed the race statistically tied at 46-45 percent with nine percent undecided, yet traders assign Republicans a 64.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district's western slope and rural voter base, Hurd's cash-on-hand advantage, and historical patterns in similar lean-Republican seats heading into the November 2026 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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