The Arkansas 3rd congressional district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in double-digit margins across recent cycles and all major 2026 race ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Incumbent Steve Womack secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage with over $2 million in cash on hand, limiting Democratic challenger Robb Ryerse's path in a district encompassing Benton, Washington, and surrounding counties. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce the implied probability. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a broader national realignment in the final months before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAR-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AR-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$15,023 Vol.
$15,023 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$15,023 Vol.
$15,023 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$7,664 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$7,359 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arkansas 3rd congressional district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in double-digit margins across recent cycles and all major 2026 race ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Incumbent Steve Womack secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage with over $2 million in cash on hand, limiting Democratic challenger Robb Ryerse's path in a district encompassing Benton, Washington, and surrounding counties. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce the implied probability. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a broader national realignment in the final months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$15,023Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arkansas 3rd congressional district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in double-digit margins across recent cycles and all major 2026 race ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Incumbent Steve Womack secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage with over $2 million in cash on hand, limiting Democratic challenger Robb Ryerse's path in a district encompassing Benton, Washington, and surrounding counties. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce the implied probability. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a broader national realignment in the final months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,023Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Arkansas 3rd congressional district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in double-digit margins across recent cycles and all major 2026 race ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Incumbent Steve Womack secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage with over $2 million in cash on hand, limiting Democratic challenger Robb Ryerse's path in a district encompassing Benton, Washington, and surrounding counties. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce the implied probability. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a broader national realignment in the final months before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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