Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with a clear majority against challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary. The district's demographics, including a large share of Black voters and urban-suburban Atlanta communities, have produced wide margins in prior general elections. With the November 3, 2026 contest approaching and no evident competitive dynamics or major shifts in voter registration, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee. A realistic path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national environment or unforeseen candidate-specific event, both of which remain distant given structural factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
GA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$42,482 Vol.
$42,482 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
2%
$42,482 Vol.
$42,482 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$26,263 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$16,219 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with a clear majority against challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary. The district's demographics, including a large share of Black voters and urban-suburban Atlanta communities, have produced wide margins in prior general elections. With the November 3, 2026 contest approaching and no evident competitive dynamics or major shifts in voter registration, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee. A realistic path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national environment or unforeseen candidate-specific event, both of which remain distant given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$42,482Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with a clear majority against challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary. The district's demographics, including a large share of Black voters and urban-suburban Atlanta communities, have produced wide margins in prior general elections. With the November 3, 2026 contest approaching and no evident competitive dynamics or major shifts in voter registration, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee. A realistic path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national environment or unforeseen candidate-specific event, both of which remain distant given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,482Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with a clear majority against challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary. The district's demographics, including a large share of Black voters and urban-suburban Atlanta communities, have produced wide margins in prior general elections. With the November 3, 2026 contest approaching and no evident competitive dynamics or major shifts in voter registration, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee. A realistic path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national environment or unforeseen candidate-specific event, both of which remain distant given structural factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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