Madeleine Dean’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Philadelphia suburban Montgomery County base and consistent voter patterns. Dean secured re-election with 59 percent in 2024 and faced no serious primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski emerged from a low-profile contest. Fundraising records and historical margins reinforce trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$19,199 Vol.
$19,199 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$19,199 Vol.
$19,199 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,741 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$12,459 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Madeleine Dean’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Philadelphia suburban Montgomery County base and consistent voter patterns. Dean secured re-election with 59 percent in 2024 and faced no serious primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski emerged from a low-profile contest. Fundraising records and historical margins reinforce trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$19,199Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Madeleine Dean’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Philadelphia suburban Montgomery County base and consistent voter patterns. Dean secured re-election with 59 percent in 2024 and faced no serious primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski emerged from a low-profile contest. Fundraising records and historical margins reinforce trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,199Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Madeleine Dean’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district stems from the seat’s strong Democratic lean, rooted in its Philadelphia suburban Montgomery County base and consistent voter patterns. Dean secured re-election with 59 percent in 2024 and faced no serious primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski emerged from a low-profile contest. Fundraising records and historical margins reinforce trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic advantage heading into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural fundamentals make such reversals improbable based on current evidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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