Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe for the party. Incumbent Dwight Evans's June 2025 retirement announcement created an open seat, but the May 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Chris Rabb, who faces minimal Republican opposition in the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent electoral history, limited GOP recruitment, and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented turnout shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes highly improbable before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$30,993 Vol.
$30,993 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
2%
$30,993 Vol.
$30,993 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$19,637 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$11,356 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe for the party. Incumbent Dwight Evans's June 2025 retirement announcement created an open seat, but the May 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Chris Rabb, who faces minimal Republican opposition in the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent electoral history, limited GOP recruitment, and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented turnout shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes highly improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,993Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe for the party. Incumbent Dwight Evans's June 2025 retirement announcement created an open seat, but the May 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Chris Rabb, who faces minimal Republican opposition in the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent electoral history, limited GOP recruitment, and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented turnout shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes highly improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,993Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats nationwide, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe for the party. Incumbent Dwight Evans's June 2025 retirement announcement created an open seat, but the May 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Chris Rabb, who faces minimal Republican opposition in the November general election. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent electoral history, limited GOP recruitment, and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or unprecedented turnout shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes highly improbable before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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