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Politique·Primaires

Troisième place de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur de la Floride

icon for Troisième place de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur de la Floride
Politique·Primaires

Troisième place de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur de la Floride

James Fishback 96.9%

Byron Donalds 4.8%

Daniel Nokovich 4.8%

James Walker Shaw 4.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

James Fishback 96.9%

Byron Donalds 4.8%

Daniel Nokovich 4.8%

James Walker Shaw 4.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for James Fishback

James Fishback

$20 Vol.

97%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$226 Vol.

5%

icon for Daniel Nokovich

Daniel Nokovich

$226 Vol.

5%

icon for James Walker Shaw

James Walker Shaw

$226 Vol.

5%

icon for Jay Collins

Jay Collins

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Jim Holcomb

Jim Holcomb

$119 Vol.

1%

icon for Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Rachel Rodriguez

Rachel Rodriguez

$155 Vol.

1%

icon for Caneste Succe

Caneste Succe

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Bobby Williams

Bobby Williams

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Renner

Paul Renner

$34 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Florida's Republican primary for governor, scheduled for August 18, 2026, features a crowded field of 11 candidates seeking to succeed term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis. Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead with President Trump's endorsement and superior fundraising, positioning Jay Collins, the current lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, as the likely runner-up. This structure leaves the battle for third place highly competitive among Paul Renner, the former House speaker with legislative experience, James Fishback, and several lower-profile entrants. Vote fragmentation across the remaining candidates sustains the tight trader consensus around 50 percent implied probabilities for multiple options, while limited recent polling shifts or endorsements have prevented clearer separation. Late primary-day turnout patterns or surprise vote consolidation could still alter the outcome before results finalize.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,741
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Florida's Republican primary for governor, scheduled for August 18, 2026, features a crowded field of 11 candidates seeking to succeed term-limited incumbent Ron DeSantis. Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead with President Trump's endorsement and superior fundraising, positioning Jay Collins, the current lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, as the likely runner-up. This structure leaves the battle for third place highly competitive among Paul Renner, the former House speaker with legislative experience, James Fishback, and several lower-profile entrants. Vote fragmentation across the remaining candidates sustains the tight trader consensus around 50 percent implied probabilities for multiple options, while limited recent polling shifts or endorsements have prevented clearer separation. Late primary-day turnout patterns or surprise vote consolidation could still alter the outcome before results finalize.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,741
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Connexes

icon for Jay Collins terminera-t-il deuxième lors de la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

Jay Collins terminera-t-il deuxième lors de la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

100%
Oui
icon for Byron Donalds sera-t-il le candidat républicain au poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

Byron Donalds sera-t-il le candidat républicain au poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

100%
Oui
icon for David Jolly sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

David Jolly sera-t-il le candidat démocrate au poste de gouverneur de Floride ?

100%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Troisième place de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur de la Floride » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « James Fishback » à 97%, suivi de « Paul Renner » à 49%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Troisième place de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur de la Floride » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 18, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Troisième place de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur de la Floride », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Troisième place de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur de la Floride » est « James Fishback » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Paul Renner » à 49%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Troisième place de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur de la Floride » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.