Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in the August 18, 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds by wide margins in polling and related prediction markets, with Donalds priced near 99% for the nomination. A July court ruling rejected residency challenges from rival Jay Collins, keeping Fishback on the ballot despite questions over his D.C. ties. Recent campaign developments, including low fundraising visibility and attacks from Trump-aligned figures, have reinforced his marginal standing. Traders assess the primary outcome and any post-election statements as the key drivers for concession timing, with the vote count and candidate responses on election night serving as immediate resolution factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJames Fishback concèdera-t-il d'ici… ?
James Fishback concèdera-t-il d'ici… ?
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
18 août
50%
19 août
58%
20 août
55%
$204 Vol.
18 août
$4 Vol.
50%
19 août
$200 Vol.
58%
20 août
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in the August 18, 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds by wide margins in polling and related prediction markets, with Donalds priced near 99% for the nomination. A July court ruling rejected residency challenges from rival Jay Collins, keeping Fishback on the ballot despite questions over his D.C. ties. Recent campaign developments, including low fundraising visibility and attacks from Trump-aligned figures, have reinforced his marginal standing. Traders assess the primary outcome and any post-election statements as the key drivers for concession timing, with the vote count and candidate responses on election night serving as immediate resolution factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volume
$204Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in the August 18, 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds by wide margins in polling and related prediction markets, with Donalds priced near 99% for the nomination. A July court ruling rejected residency challenges from rival Jay Collins, keeping Fishback on the ballot despite questions over his D.C. ties. Recent campaign developments, including low fundraising visibility and attacks from Trump-aligned figures, have reinforced his marginal standing. Traders assess the primary outcome and any post-election statements as the key drivers for concession timing, with the vote count and candidate responses on election night serving as immediate resolution factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Volume
$204Date de fin
20 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in the August 18, 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds by wide margins in polling and related prediction markets, with Donalds priced near 99% for the nomination. A July court ruling rejected residency challenges from rival Jay Collins, keeping Fishback on the ballot despite questions over his D.C. ties. Recent campaign developments, including low fundraising visibility and attacks from Trump-aligned figures, have reinforced his marginal standing. Traders assess the primary outcome and any post-election statements as the key drivers for concession timing, with the vote count and candidate responses on election night serving as immediate resolution factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
James Fishback obtiendra-t-il moins de 10 % des voix lors de la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride ?
63%
Oui
Byron Donalds gagnera-t-il la primaire républicaine pour le poste de gouverneur de Floride avec au moins 40 % d’avance ?
46%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection du gouverneur de Floride de 2026 avec une avance de 9 % à 12 % ?
43%
Oui
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