Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on Madison, where the university population and urban voters have produced consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 by defeating primary challenger Douglas Alexander with no Republican candidate appearing on the November ballot, locking in the outcome under current filing deadlines. Trader consensus at 95.8% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition. Late entry by a Republican or an unforeseen development such as a successful independent bid or candidate withdrawal could theoretically alter the result, though both remain remote given the timeline and district composition.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$99,874 Vol.
$99,874 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
2%
$99,874 Vol.
$99,874 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$60,593 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$39,281 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on Madison, where the university population and urban voters have produced consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 by defeating primary challenger Douglas Alexander with no Republican candidate appearing on the November ballot, locking in the outcome under current filing deadlines. Trader consensus at 95.8% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition. Late entry by a Republican or an unforeseen development such as a successful independent bid or candidate withdrawal could theoretically alter the result, though both remain remote given the timeline and district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$99,874Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on Madison, where the university population and urban voters have produced consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 by defeating primary challenger Douglas Alexander with no Republican candidate appearing on the November ballot, locking in the outcome under current filing deadlines. Trader consensus at 95.8% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition. Late entry by a Republican or an unforeseen development such as a successful independent bid or candidate withdrawal could theoretically alter the result, though both remain remote given the timeline and district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$99,874Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat centered on Madison, where the university population and urban voters have produced consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 by defeating primary challenger Douglas Alexander with no Republican candidate appearing on the November ballot, locking in the outcome under current filing deadlines. Trader consensus at 95.8% for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive opposition. Late entry by a Republican or an unforeseen development such as a successful independent bid or candidate withdrawal could theoretically alter the result, though both remain remote given the timeline and district composition.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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