Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored by Madison and the University of Wisconsin, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's 70 percent-plus margin in 2024. Trader consensus around a Democratic outcome stems primarily from the absence of any Republican candidate filing by the June 2026 nomination deadline, leaving only a minor intraparty challenge to Pocan in the August 11 Democratic primary ahead of the November 3 general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles, has produced the lopsided pricing. A Democratic withdrawal or major unforeseen development before the general election could still alter the outcome, though no such factors have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$91,275 Vol.
$91,275 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
2%
$91,275 Vol.
$91,275 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$53,710 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$37,565 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored by Madison and the University of Wisconsin, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's 70 percent-plus margin in 2024. Trader consensus around a Democratic outcome stems primarily from the absence of any Republican candidate filing by the June 2026 nomination deadline, leaving only a minor intraparty challenge to Pocan in the August 11 Democratic primary ahead of the November 3 general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles, has produced the lopsided pricing. A Democratic withdrawal or major unforeseen development before the general election could still alter the outcome, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$91,275Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored by Madison and the University of Wisconsin, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's 70 percent-plus margin in 2024. Trader consensus around a Democratic outcome stems primarily from the absence of any Republican candidate filing by the June 2026 nomination deadline, leaving only a minor intraparty challenge to Pocan in the August 11 Democratic primary ahead of the November 3 general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles, has produced the lopsided pricing. A Democratic withdrawal or major unforeseen development before the general election could still alter the outcome, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$91,275Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored by Madison and the University of Wisconsin, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's 70 percent-plus margin in 2024. Trader consensus around a Democratic outcome stems primarily from the absence of any Republican candidate filing by the June 2026 nomination deadline, leaving only a minor intraparty challenge to Pocan in the August 11 Democratic primary ahead of the November 3 general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles, has produced the lopsided pricing. A Democratic withdrawal or major unforeseen development before the general election could still alter the outcome, though no such factors have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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