Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces a well-funded Democratic challenge from Rebecca Cooke in Wisconsin’s 3rd district, an R+3 seat that has trended competitive in recent cycles. Cooke has built a sizable cash advantage, leads internal polling by wide margins in the August 11 Democratic primary, and holds narrow edges in head-to-head general-election surveys against the incumbent. These factors, combined with the midterm environment and the district’s history of close races, have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 78.5 percent while leaving Republicans at 50.5 percent. Primaries conclude in August and the general election occurs November 3, 2026, with both campaigns already emphasizing fundraising and turnout in the Driftless Area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
79%
Parti républicain
36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$538 Vol.
79%
Parti républicain
$586 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces a well-funded Democratic challenge from Rebecca Cooke in Wisconsin’s 3rd district, an R+3 seat that has trended competitive in recent cycles. Cooke has built a sizable cash advantage, leads internal polling by wide margins in the August 11 Democratic primary, and holds narrow edges in head-to-head general-election surveys against the incumbent. These factors, combined with the midterm environment and the district’s history of close races, have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 78.5 percent while leaving Republicans at 50.5 percent. Primaries conclude in August and the general election occurs November 3, 2026, with both campaigns already emphasizing fundraising and turnout in the Driftless Area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$1,124Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces a well-funded Democratic challenge from Rebecca Cooke in Wisconsin’s 3rd district, an R+3 seat that has trended competitive in recent cycles. Cooke has built a sizable cash advantage, leads internal polling by wide margins in the August 11 Democratic primary, and holds narrow edges in head-to-head general-election surveys against the incumbent. These factors, combined with the midterm environment and the district’s history of close races, have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 78.5 percent while leaving Republicans at 50.5 percent. Primaries conclude in August and the general election occurs November 3, 2026, with both campaigns already emphasizing fundraising and turnout in the Driftless Area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,124Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces a well-funded Democratic challenge from Rebecca Cooke in Wisconsin’s 3rd district, an R+3 seat that has trended competitive in recent cycles. Cooke has built a sizable cash advantage, leads internal polling by wide margins in the August 11 Democratic primary, and holds narrow edges in head-to-head general-election surveys against the incumbent. These factors, combined with the midterm environment and the district’s history of close races, have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 78.5 percent while leaving Republicans at 50.5 percent. Primaries conclude in August and the general election occurs November 3, 2026, with both campaigns already emphasizing fundraising and turnout in the Driftless Area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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