Recent developments center on the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary, where Rebecca Cooke defeated Emily Berge to secure the nomination for a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district. The seat, rated highly competitive by analysts with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, saw Cooke raise more funds than Van Orden ahead of the general election while a mid-2026 internal poll showed her holding a narrow lead. Van Orden won reelection by under three points in 2024, and the district’s mix of rural and mid-sized communities in the Driftless Area keeps both parties focused on turnout and swing voters. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic nominee’s position entering the fall campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Parti démocrate
73%
Parti républicain
29%
Parti démocrate
73%
Parti républicain
29%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments center on the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary, where Rebecca Cooke defeated Emily Berge to secure the nomination for a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district. The seat, rated highly competitive by analysts with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, saw Cooke raise more funds than Van Orden ahead of the general election while a mid-2026 internal poll showed her holding a narrow lead. Van Orden won reelection by under three points in 2024, and the district’s mix of rural and mid-sized communities in the Driftless Area keeps both parties focused on turnout and swing voters. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic nominee’s position entering the fall campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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