Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The east-central district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Grothman’s consistent reelection margins, including 61 percent in 2024, underpin trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election. He faced no serious primary opposition in August, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his primary but trails significantly in available polling. Multiple independent candidates, including firefighter Mike Thurow, add some vote fragmentation but have not altered the district’s structural Republican advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still affect the outcome, though none have emerged in recent months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$36,769 Vol.
$36,769 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Glenn Grothman (R)
94%
Brad Smith (D)
6%
$36,769 Vol.
$36,769 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Glenn Grothman (R)
$20,358 Vol.
94%
Brad Smith (D)
$16,411 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The east-central district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Grothman’s consistent reelection margins, including 61 percent in 2024, underpin trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election. He faced no serious primary opposition in August, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his primary but trails significantly in available polling. Multiple independent candidates, including firefighter Mike Thurow, add some vote fragmentation but have not altered the district’s structural Republican advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still affect the outcome, though none have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$36,769Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The east-central district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Grothman’s consistent reelection margins, including 61 percent in 2024, underpin trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election. He faced no serious primary opposition in August, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his primary but trails significantly in available polling. Multiple independent candidates, including firefighter Mike Thurow, add some vote fragmentation but have not altered the district’s structural Republican advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still affect the outcome, though none have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,769Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding lead in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The east-central district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Grothman’s consistent reelection margins, including 61 percent in 2024, underpin trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election. He faced no serious primary opposition in August, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his primary but trails significantly in available polling. Multiple independent candidates, including firefighter Mike Thurow, add some vote fragmentation but have not altered the district’s structural Republican advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still affect the outcome, though none have emerged in recent months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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