The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid/Safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, anchors the high implied probability for a GOP nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany's decision to seek the governorship instead has created an open seat, prompting an August 11 primary featuring multiple Republican contenders, with early polling showing one frontrunner. Limited Democratic activity and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment in recent weeks reinforce trader consensus that the seat is unlikely to flip. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements could still introduce modest movement before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$34,440 Vol.
$34,440 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
88%
Parti démocrate
13%
$34,440 Vol.
$34,440 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$18,929 Vol.
88%
Parti démocrate
$15,511 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid/Safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, anchors the high implied probability for a GOP nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany's decision to seek the governorship instead has created an open seat, prompting an August 11 primary featuring multiple Republican contenders, with early polling showing one frontrunner. Limited Democratic activity and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment in recent weeks reinforce trader consensus that the seat is unlikely to flip. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements could still introduce modest movement before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$34,440Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid/Safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, anchors the high implied probability for a GOP nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany's decision to seek the governorship instead has created an open seat, prompting an August 11 primary featuring multiple Republican contenders, with early polling showing one frontrunner. Limited Democratic activity and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment in recent weeks reinforce trader consensus that the seat is unlikely to flip. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements could still introduce modest movement before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,440Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid/Safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, anchors the high implied probability for a GOP nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany's decision to seek the governorship instead has created an open seat, prompting an August 11 primary featuring multiple Republican contenders, with early polling showing one frontrunner. Limited Democratic activity and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter sentiment in recent weeks reinforce trader consensus that the seat is unlikely to flip. Upcoming primary results and any late endorsements could still introduce modest movement before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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