Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning him a 68.5% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Mitchell Berman. Steil's position stems from the district's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2019, and a substantial fundraising advantage, even after redistricting added competitive areas around Beloit and Janesville. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican. Berman, an ER nurse who won his August 11 primary, has launched early advertising highlighting working-class issues and criticizing special-interest influence, and one late-summer poll showed the race within a point. Upcoming campaign events and additional polling will shape final assessments of the contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$10,175 Vol.
$10,175 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Bryan Steil (R)
69%
Mitchell Berman (D)
32%
$10,175 Vol.
$10,175 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Bryan Steil (R)
$5,439 Vol.
69%
Mitchell Berman (D)
$4,737 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning him a 68.5% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Mitchell Berman. Steil's position stems from the district's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2019, and a substantial fundraising advantage, even after redistricting added competitive areas around Beloit and Janesville. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican. Berman, an ER nurse who won his August 11 primary, has launched early advertising highlighting working-class issues and criticizing special-interest influence, and one late-summer poll showed the race within a point. Upcoming campaign events and additional polling will shape final assessments of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$10,175Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning him a 68.5% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Mitchell Berman. Steil's position stems from the district's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2019, and a substantial fundraising advantage, even after redistricting added competitive areas around Beloit and Janesville. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican. Berman, an ER nurse who won his August 11 primary, has launched early advertising highlighting working-class issues and criticizing special-interest influence, and one late-summer poll showed the race within a point. Upcoming campaign events and additional polling will shape final assessments of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,175Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning him a 68.5% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Mitchell Berman. Steil's position stems from the district's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2019, and a substantial fundraising advantage, even after redistricting added competitive areas around Beloit and Janesville. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican. Berman, an ER nurse who won his August 11 primary, has launched early advertising highlighting working-class issues and criticizing special-interest influence, and one late-summer poll showed the race within a point. Upcoming campaign events and additional polling will shape final assessments of the contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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